Milk Price Methodology and Industry Regulation  

Fonterra currently collects the majority of New Zealand’s milk production.

Because Fonterra purchases such a large proportion of New Zealand’s total milk, there is no market price for milk that is independent of the price paid by Fonterra.

As a result, since its formation in 2001, Fonterra has calculated a Farmgate Milk Price that enables total returns to be allocated between payments for milk and returns on the capital invested by Fonterra farmer shareholders and by unit holders in the Fonterra Shareholders’ Fund. 

Milk Price Methodology


The Farmgate Milk Price is the average price paid by Fonterra for each kilogram of milk solids (kgMS) supplied by Fonterra’s farmer shareholders under Fonterra’s standard terms of supply ¹. 

It is calculated in accordance with the Farmgate Milk Price Manual (the Manual). The Manual is maintained by the Fonterra Board in accordance with the Dairy Industry Restructuring Act 2001 (DIRA) and the Fonterra Constitution.


The Aggregate Farmgate Milk Price is calculated as revenue less costs. Revenue assumes: 

  • The entire volume of milk collected is processed into commodity specifications of the five Reference Commodity Products (RCPs) which are Whole Milk Powder (WMP) and Skim Milk Powder (SMP), and their by-products Butter, Anhydrous Milk Fat (AMF) and Buttermilk Powder (BMP).² 
  • The RCPs are sold in USD on and off GDT. 
  • USD sales revenue is converted into NZD at exchange rates achieved by Fonterra. 

Costs comprise:

  • Cash Costs: costs of collecting raw milk, efficiently manufacturing the five RCPs, delivering finished product to New Zealand export ports, and selling and administration expenses.
  • Capital Costs: depreciation of fixed assets, an appropriate return on investment including on working capital, and corporate tax.
  • Additional Commodity Milk Payments and Standard Supply Adjustments: adjustments for milk quality issues and additional payments or deductions for milk not supplied on standard terms, to the extent these would apply to the Notional Milk Price Business (NMPB).³
Notes:


¹ This price may differ from the “farm gate milk price” published in accordance with the Dairy Industry Restructuring (Raw Milk) Regulations 2012 due to the way “farm gate milk price” is defined in those Regulations and the impact of Fonterra’s fixed milk price offers.

² Most of the milk supplied over the past decade in New Zealand to Fonterra and its competitors used to manufacture commodity dairy products has been used to manufacture milk powders. As returns from the sale of milk powders and their by-products represent the marginal returns that would drive the price of milk in a competitive market in New Zealand, the Farmgate Milk Price is based onm these products.

³ Additional Commodity Milk Payments are payments for milk supplied other than on standard terms of supply where it would be appropriate for the NMPB to source that milk for conversion into RCPs. Examples of these payments include the portion of Winter Milk premiums that would be payable by the NMPB and discounts for contract milk. Standard Supply Adjustments arise from adjustments to payments for milk supplied under Fonterra’s standard terms of supply, such as where milk quality demerits have been applied.


Both Fonterra’s Constitution and DIRA require Fonterra to maintain a Milk Price Manual, which sets out Fonterra’s policies and methodology for determining the Farmgate Milk Price. The Manual must reflect the Milk Price Principles set out in Fonterra’s Constitution. The Farmgate Milk Price has been calculated in accordance with the Manual since the start of the 2009 season. 

The Fonterra Board sets the total amount to be paid by Fonterra for all milk supplied to it in New Zealand in each season, overseen by a robust governance structure. A detailed description of the Farmgate Milk Price governance structure can be found in Fonterra’s annual Milk Price Statement below.


As required under the DIRA, the Commerce Commission carries out a review of both the Milk Price Manual and the Farmgate Milk Price calculation annually. For more information about the review process and for copies of the Commerce Commission’s reports go to the Commerce Commission’s website. Read more here.

Review of the Farmgate Milk Price

Under Section 150O of the Dairy Industry Restructuring Act 2001 (as amended in July 2012), the Commission must review Fonterra's calculation of the “base milk price” for each season and report on the extent to which it is consistent with the purpose set out in section 150A of the Act. To assist the Commission's review, Fonterra must provide (by 1 July in each year) the assumptions adopted and the inputs and processes used in calculating the base milk price for the preceding season, together with certification (including reasons) that these are consistent with the purpose set out in section 150A of the Act. The Commission is required to make its final report by 15 September each year.

Under Section 150H of the Act, the Commission is required to review Fonterra’s Milk Price Manual for each season and report on the extent to which it is consistent with the purpose set out in section 150A of the Act. To assist this review, Fonterra must provide the Milk Price Manual for the current season, recommendations of the Milk Price Panel in relation to the setting of the base milk price, notification of required changes, certification of why it meets the purpose, and supporting reasons before 1 August each year. The Commission is required to make its final report by 15 December each year.

Under sections 150JA and 150QA of the Act, Fonterra is required to make all “non-sensitive” information requested by or provided to the Commerce Commission in relation to its reviews of Fonterra’s Milk Price Manual and base milk price calculation publicly accessible.

Fonterra makes no warranty, express or implied, nor assumes any legal liability or responsibility to any person for the accuracy, correctness or completeness of the information disclosed in accordance with the Act.

Review of Fonterra’s Milk Price Manual

Under section 150H of DIRA the Commission is required to review Fonterra’s Milk Price Manual for each season and publish a report on the extent to which it is consistent with the purpose set out in section 150A of the Act. To assist the Commission’s review Fonterra needs to provide the Milk Price manual for the current season, together with recommendations of Fonterra’s Milk Price Panel in relation to the setting of the “base milk price” (i.e. the Farmgate Milk Price calculated under the Manual), notification of required changes in the business environment that requires a change to the Manual, certification of why it meets the DIRA 150A purpose, and supporting reasons for the certification before 1 August each year. The Commission is required to issue its final report by 15 December each year.

Industry Regulation


In 2001, the DIRA allowed the creation of Fonterra through a merger between New Zealand’s two largest dairy co-operatives New Zealand Co-operative Dairy Company and Kiwi Co-operative Dairies – and the assets of the former New Zealand Dairy Board.  The DIRA provides a framework to regulate the activities of Fonterra, including the “open entry and exit” requirements, and monitoring of its farm gate milk price setting processes.

In August 2019, the Dairy Industry Restructuring Amendment Bill (No 3) was introduced to remove regulatory requirements that are no longer necessary, support and encourage better environmental performance of the dairy industry, provide Fonterra with more flexibility to manage some aspects of its operations, and provide increased clarity on aspects of the regulatory regime for Fonterra and other dairy industry stakeholders.

The Bill passed unanimously in July 2020. The changes around open entry came into effect from 1 June 2023, and the changes to the requirements to supply independent processors took effect from 1 June 2024.


DIRA was introduced to ensure that New Zealand dairy markets remain contestable and efficient. The open entry and exit provisions of the Act allow farmers to start and stop supplying milk to Fonterra at the start of any season, subject to limited exceptions.

As of the 1 June 2023, the open entry requirements were removed, meaning Fonterra is not required to accept milk from farmers wishing to join Fonterra, but in deciding whether or not to accept milk, Fonterra needs to “have regard to”:

(a) The effect of its decision on the ongoing viability of the farm if the farm supplied Fonterra in the previous season; and
(b) The land-use opportunities available to the applicant.

Separately, in November 2020, Fonterra’s Constitution was amended to require Fonterra to accept supply from any farm if the farm is supplying Fonterra at the time of the application, and Fonterra is satisfied that the farm/applicant comply with Fonterra’s standard terms and conditions of supply.

For more detail on the DIRA freedom of entry and exit requirements go to the Ministry for Primary Industries website.


Under the Dairy Industry Restructuring (Raw Milk) Regulations 2012, Fonterra must make up to 600 million litres of the milk it collects each season available to eligible independent processors at the regulated price.

Of that amount, the volume of raw milk that Fonterra must supply to:

  • Goodman Fielder New Zealand Limited is limited to 350 million litres per season, and
  • any other independent processor and their interconnected bodies corporate is limited to 50 million litres per season.

From 1 June 2021, Goodman Fielder is required to pay Fonterra an extra 10c/kgMS for all regulated raw milk it purchases. Goodman Fielder will also be able to purchase regulated milk at the quarterly fixed price.

Fonterra is not required to supply raw milk to independent processors if their own supply is 30 million litres or more for a season. “Own supply” can be from farmers or any other source but does not include milk from Fonterra farmers.

Fonterra is required to disclose certain information including the forecast and actual figures for the season of:

  • The total quantity of raw milk to be supplied by shareholding farmers
  • The total quantity of raw milk contracted to supply to independent processors
  • The total cost of milk
  • The farm gate milk price
  • The total quantity of milksolids supplied by shareholding farmers
  • The additional cost of winter milk for each island
  • The additional cost of organic milk
  • The total winter milk premium paid

Find out more in the disclosures below.

Forecast and Actual Information

Research and Analysis


Commissioned Research and Analysis


In accordance with section 109LA of the Dairy Industry Restructuring Act (DIRA) 2001, we have commissioned Northington Partners to provide independent financial markets research and analysis about our performance.


Other Research and Analysis

Under section 109LB of DIRA, we must maintain a list of financial markets research and analysis about our performance. See below for a list of research analysts that cover Fonterra, with information about how you can access their recent financial markets research and analysis relating to our performance. Fonterra has not been involved in the preparation of any of these reports.

For access, contact research.institutional@craigsip.com (Craigs access terms and fees may apply)

  • High yield augmented by strong growth outlook - 29 September 2025
  • A pat on the back - 21 March 2025
  • Trading update and Mainland Presentation - 10 March 2025
  • Chewing over the FY24 result - 26 September 2024
  • Capital return: The encore - 19 May 2024
  • Gouda been better - 22 March 2024
  • Milking the divvies - 22 September 2023
  • Whey to go - 31 May 2023
  • Creaming it - 17 March 2023
  • Good momentum - 8 December 2022
  • Extra Cheddar - 13 September 2022
  • Billion dollar question - 22 September 2022
  • A mix of firm and soft - 17 March 2022
  • Home Economics - 26 September 2021
  • Clouds ahead - 26 May 2021
  • From full cream to skim milk - 17 March 2021

For access, contact Forsyth Barr via this link: https://www.forsythbarr.co.nz/ (Forsyth Barr access terms and fees may apply)

  • FY25 Result - Cream rising to the top - 26 September 2025
  • H25 Result - More of the Same - 21 March 2025
  • Heady Times - 11 March 2025
  • More Positive News + Consumer Sale Update - 9 March 2025
  • Sticking to the Core - 1 October 2024
  • FY24 Result - Farming on Solid Ground - 26 September 2024
  • Creaming It - 26 August 2024
  • Liquid Gold - 17 May 2024
  • 1H24 Result - Good Grazing - 22 March 2024
  • FY23 Result - Milking Record Profits – 22 September 2023
  • Q3 Business Update - Another FY23 Earnings Upgrade - 25 May 2023
  • Milking It - 17 March 2023
  • Another FY23 Earnings Upgrade - 7 December 2022
  • FY22 Result - Green Pastures - 23 September 2022
  • Streams Returning - 12 September 2022
  • 1H22 Result - Edging Forward - 18 March 2022
  • Greener Pastures - 24 September 2021
  • 1H21 Result - Bitter Sweet – 18 March 2021

 

For access, contact Jarden via this link: https://www.jarden.co.nz/contact-us#contact (Jarden access terms and fees may apply)

  • Consumer divested for $4.22b; but wait, there's more - 25 September 2025
  • Earnings strength sustained - 10 March 2025
  • Strong performance continues - 25 September 2024
  • Strong performance continues - 25 September 2024
  • A bold move to the core - 16 May 2024
  • Strong balance sheet provides options; looking for an update on key questions at FY24 - 21 March 2024
  • Sticking with a positive call - discipline outside the NZ core key from here - 21 September 2023
  • Continuing to cream it in FY23 - 25 May 2023 
  • Streaming Along - 17 March 2023 
  • Progressing Chile and capital structure changes positive for 2023 - 25 November 2022 
  • Australia retained - 22 September 2022 
  • FY23 gets a protein kicker - 9 September 2022 
  • Solid result against challenging backdrop - 17 March 2022 
  • Solid 1Q22 given near record input costs - 3 Dec 2021 

For access, contact eqgmagres@macquarie.com (Macquarie access terms and fees may apply)

  • Targeting ~5% EBIT growth p.a. to FY28 - 26 September 2025
  • Solid start despite Mainland separation distractions - 4 December 2025
  • Targeting ~5% EBIT growth p.a. to FY28 - 26 September 2025
  • Increasing evidence of higher sustainable EPS - 20 March 2025
  • Cow ate my calculator - 10 March 2025
  • Strong earnings despite record milk price - 21 February 2025
  • Positioned for stronger returns - 3 October 2024
  • Further capital returns likely with or without Consumer sale - 25 September 2024
  • Strong Finish to FY24 - 23 August 2024
  • Upgrade: A clearer focus on shareholder value - 16 May 2024
  • Yet to update LTAs despite FY24 tracking ahead - 21 March 2024
  • Balance sheet to support farmers & strong DPS - 21 September 2023 
  • Larger ’23 guide increase hidden in one-offs - 17 March 2023 
  • Strong flow of stream returns - 8 December 2022 
  • Soprole sale agreement reached - 18 November 2022 
  • Track to 2030 targets by no means linear - 23 September 2022 
  • High input costs to continue in FY23 - 26 May 2022 
  • Price relativities offset C&FS margin squeeze - 17 March 2022 Milk price up, top end of EPS down - 3 December 2021 
  • Taking unitholders along for the ride - 24 September 2021 

For access, contact UBS via this link: https://www.ubs.com/nz/en.html (UBS access terms and fees may apply)

  • Holding on for Mainland sale - 25 September 2025
  • Milk price transfer - 20 March 2025
  • Grass is greener - 21 February 2025
  • A special (dividend) story - 26 September 2024
  • UBS Snapshot: 1H24 Result - 21 March 2024
  • Milking the dividend - 22 September 2023 
  • Cash cow; Upgrade to Buy - 16 March 2023 
  • 1QFY23 Trading Update - 8 December 2022 
  • Fenced in (by capital structure change) - 23 September 2022 
  • Shareholder overhang counters stream returns - 9 September 2022 
  • 1H22 Result - 17 March 2022 
  • A next season story - 24 September 2021 
  • Some positive progress but milk price headwinds re-emerging - 25 March 2021 
  • 1QFY21 Trading Update - 4 December 2021